Will/Should/What Could Have Been - Oscar Talk

With the Oscars ceremony tomorrow, we figured we'd all make our predictions as well as try and correct some obvious missteps in the nominations.  The next episode we record, we'll talk our picks a bit and see who flamed out the least.

Best Picture

Nominees: American Hustle; Captain Phillips; Dallas Buyers Club; Gravity; Her; Nebraska; Philomena; 12 Years a Slave; The Wolf of Wall Street 

	Will Win	Should Win	Shoulda Been Nominated
Amy	???	Philomena	I wouldn't have minded seeing "Rush" make the list.
Joe	Gravity	12 Years A Slave	Before Midnight was hosed.  Upstream Color was the best film of the year but had no chance of a nomination.
Randy	12 Years a Slave	Gravity	Before Midnight

Best Actor

Nominees: Christian Bale – American Hustle as Irving Rosenfeld
Bruce Dern – Nebraska as Woody Grant
Leonardo DiCaprio – The Wolf of Wall Street as Jordan Belfort
Chiwetel Ejiofor – 12 Years a Slave as Solomon Northup
Matthew McConaughey – Dallas Buyers Club as Ron Woodroof

	Will Win	Should Win	Shoulda Been Nominated
Amy	McConaughey or Eijofor	Anybody but Bale
Joe	Matthew McConaughey	Chiwetel Ejiofor	Simon Pegg, "The World's End"
Randy	Matthew McConaughey	Leonardo DiCaprio	Robert Redford, "All Is Lost"

Best Actress

Nominees:

Amy Adams – American Hustle as Sydney Prosser

Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine as Jeanette "Jasmine" Francis

Sandra Bullock – Gravity as Dr. Ryan Stone

Judi Dench – Philomena as Philomena Lee

Meryl Streep – August: Osage County as Violet Weston

	Will Win	Should Win	Shoulda Been Nominated
Amy	Adams	Dench
Joe	Cate Blanchett	Amy Adams	Julie Delpy.  Inexplicable omission.
Randy	Cate Blanchett	Sandra Bullock	I would have loved a nom for Brie Larson in "Short Term 12".

Best Supporting Actor

Nominees:

Barkhad Abdi – Captain Phillips as Abduwali Muse

Bradley Cooper – American Hustle as Agent Richard "Richie" DiMaso

Michael Fassbender – 12 Years a Slave as Edwin Epps

Jonah Hill – The Wolf of Wall Street as Donnie Azoff

Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club as Rayon

	Will Win	Should Win	Shoulda Been Nominated
Amy	Leto		Daniel Brühl was terrific as Niki Lauda in Rush. The Germans I saw it with said he NAILED Lauda's distinctive Austrian accent.
Joe	Jared Leto	Jared Leto	I have nothing on this one.
Randy	Jared Leto	Jonah Hill	James Gandolfini, Enough Said.

Best Supporting Actress

Nominees: Sally Hawkins – Blue Jasmine as Ginger

Jennifer Lawrence – American Hustle as Rosalyn Rosenfeld

Lupita Nyong'o – 12 Years a Slave as Patsey

Julia Roberts – August: Osage County as Barbara Weston-Fordham

June Squibb – Nebraska as Kate Grant

	Will Win	Should Win	Shoulda Been Nominated So It Could Win
Amy	Nyong'o	Lawrence - Took a character that could have been LOATHED and made it multi-dimension and sympathetic. I thought hers was a better performance than Adams', frankly.
Joe	Lupita Nyong'o	Lupita Nyong'o	No choice on this one.
Randy	Lupita Nyong'o	June Squibb	Margot Robbie, The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Director

Nominees: David O. Russell – American Hustle
Alfonso Cuarón – Gravity
Alexander Payne – Nebraska
Steve McQueen – 12 Years a Slave
Martin Scorsese – The Wolf of Wall Street

	Will Win	Should Win	Shoulda Been Nominated
Amy	Russell	Cuarón	Stephen Frears for Philomena or Ron Howard for Rush
Joe	Alfonso Cuarón	Alfonso Cuarón	Shane Carruth for Upstream Color or Edgar Wright for The World's En.
Randy	Alfonso Cuarón	Alfonso Cuarón	Sarah Polley deserved more recognition for the remarkable Stories We Tell.

Best Screenplay - Original

Nominees:

American Hustle – Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell

Blue Jasmine – Woody Allen

Dallas Buyers Club – Craig Borten and Melisa Wallack

Her – Spike Jonze

Nebraska – Bob Nelson

	Will Win	Should Win	Shoulda Been Nominated
Amy	Her or American Hustle	American Hustle	Don Jon - Joseph Gordon Levitt. Way smarter than it had any right to be. Original and interesting.
Joe	American Hustle	Nebraska	I like Amy's Don Jon nod so I'm going to copy it.
Randy	American Hustle. Ugh.	Nebraska	Gravity, because this ridiculous notion that its screenplay is bad needs to stop.

Best Screenplay - Adapted

Nominees:

Before Midnight – Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy, and Ethan Hawke

Captain Phillips – Billy Ray

Philomena – Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope

12 Years a Slave – John Ridley

The Wolf of Wall Street – Terence Winter

	Will Win	Should Win	Shoulda Been Nominated
Amy	12 Years a Slave	Tie: Philomena and Before Midnight
Joe	12 Years a Slave	Before Midnight
Randy	12 Years a Slave	Before Midnight

Best Animated Feature

Nominees: The Croods; Despicable Me 2; Ernest & Celestine; Frozen; The Wind Rises

	Will Win	Should Win	Shoulda Been Nominated
Amy	Frozen	Frozen	This category could be very interesting next year with both How to Train Your Dragon 2 AND The Lego Movie in contention.
Joe	Frozen	Kaze Tachinu (The Wind Rises)
Randy	Frozen	Frozen

Best Documentary Feature

Nominees: 

The Act of Killing; 20 Feet from Stardom; Cutie and the Boxer; Dirty Wars; The Square

	Will Win	Should Win	Shoulda Been Nominated So It Could Win
Amy		I only saw 20 Feet from Stardom but I loved, loved it.
Joe	20 Feet From Stardom	The Act of Killing	Stories We Tell
Randy	The Act of Killing	The Act of Killing	Stories We Tell

Other categories: